{"meta":{"brand":"realbacktesting","domain":"realbacktesting.com","tagline":"Verify before you trust.","promise":"Proof over promises.","backtest_period":"2021-06-01 \u2192 2026-06-02","backtest_years":5.0,"base_eur":80000.0,"split_pct":80,"reports_published":3,"mc":{"n_sims":20000,"block_days":10,"seed":20260610,"td_per_month":21}},"parity":{"headline_pct":100.0,"worst_strategy_pct":100.0,"n_strategies":13,"years":5,"store_requirement_pct":95,"levels":[{"level":1,"name":"Signal-to-signal","status":"PROVEN","value":"100%","detail":"The research engine that produced these numbers and the portable C# engine that ships inside the cBot agree on every entry/exit signal, cell-by-cell, across every strategy over 5 years \u2014 100% parity, verified by an automated harness on identical bar data. This is signal agreement between the two engines, not a performance guarantee. Full parity methodology available on request.","evidence":"every strategy \u00b7 5 years \u00b7 measured"},{"level":2,"name":"Trade-count & cost basis","status":"PROVEN","value":"matched","detail":"The same harness that measures 100% signal parity runs both engines on identical bars under the identical cost model \u2014 real per-symbol spread, commission (FX $2.50/lot/side, indices free, crypto 0.0325%, metals 0.0007%), 1 bps slippage on every fill, swap, additive sizing on 80,000 EUR. Identical signals on identical costs produce an identical trade count and cost basis: proven by the same measurement, not assumed.","evidence":"same trades \u00b7 same real costs \u00b7 measured"},{"level":3,"name":"cTrader-native, reproducible","status":"PROVEN","value":"3 / 3 systems","detail":"Every system has been run in the cTrader native backtester \u2014 m1 bars, spread 0, real commission & swap \u2014 the exact run you can reproduce yourself on any machine, published per product (open each report). It uses cTrader's light, open-only execution and charges no spread, so it reads above our number on all three systems (by ~11 pp on Guardian, ~44-46 pp on Balanced and Edge); our engine adds real spread, 1 bps slippage and intrabar M1 execution, so it lands lower - the conservative, realistic figure. The full two-engine comparison is on this page.","evidence":"cTrader native \u00b7 m1 \u00b7 all 3 published"}],"heatmap":{"rows":[{"label":"Bitcoin \u00b7 2h","cells":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"overall":100.0,"bars":22914},{"label":"DAX 40 \u00b7 1h","cells":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"overall":100.0,"bars":31463},{"label":"DAX 40 \u00b7 4h","cells":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"overall":100.0,"bars":8307},{"label":"Ethereum \u00b7 2h","cells":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"overall":100.0,"bars":22912},{"label":"Ethereum \u00b7 4h","cells":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"overall":100.0,"bars":11576},{"label":"Ethereum \u00b7 4h","cells":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"overall":100.0,"bars":11576},{"label":"Gold \u00b7 6h","cells":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"overall":100.0,"bars":5864},{"label":"Gold \u00b7 6h","cells":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"overall":100.0,"bars":5864},{"label":"Nasdaq 100 \u00b7 2h","cells":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"overall":100.0,"bars":16683},{"label":"Nasdaq 100 \u00b7 2h","cells":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"overall":100.0,"bars":16683},{"label":"USD/JPY \u00b7 4h","cells":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"overall":100.0,"bars":8530},{"label":"USD/JPY \u00b7 4h","cells":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"overall":100.0,"bars":8530},{"label":"USD/JPY \u00b7 8h","cells":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"overall":100.0,"bars":4499}],"n":13,"total_bars":175401,"worst":100.0,"cols":["Entry long","Exit long","Entry short","Exit short"]}},"methodology":{"execution":"intrabar M1","slippage":"1 bps","swap":"applied","spread":"real per-symbol","commission":"real per-symbol (auto)","sizing":"additive %-risk on 80,000 EUR (compound optional)","mc_dd_basis":"drawdown ceiling enforced at the 95th percentile of Monte Carlo (worse of trade-resample + daily block-bootstrap), confirmed on a 30% out-of-sample hold-out","data":"cTrader broker M1, 2021-2026"},"contrast":{"title":"The forex-robot clich\u00e9 vs realbacktesting","rows":[{"cliche":"A green equity curve as a screenshot","real":"An equity curve you reproduce in your own cTrader"},{"cliche":"\"500% in 3 months\" headline ROI","real":"Drawdown ceiling held at Monte-Carlo p95, then out-of-sample"},{"cliche":"Idealised zero-cost backtest","real":"Real per-symbol spread, commission, slippage and swap"},{"cliche":"In-sample curve fit to the past","real":"30% out-of-sample hold-out, shown on the chart"},{"cliche":"\"Trust me\" \u2014 unverifiable results","real":"Signal parity you reproduce in your own cTrader"},{"cliche":"One magic indicator","real":"8\u201313 decorrelated strategies, |corr| \u2248 0.05"}]},"custom_service":{"title":"Custom systems, built to your mandate","subhead":"Beyond our three ready-made systems: a trading bot engineered around your instruments, risk limits and prop-firm rules \u2014 backtested the same verifiable way.","steps":["Discovery brief","Strategy design + massive backtest","Verifiable validation (WF / MC / OOS)","Ported to your platform (cTrader now, MT5 next)"]},"account_safety":{"kicker":"Account safety","title":"Built so your account trades as its own.","intro":"Most cBots create a problem the moment more than one person runs them: identical trades across accounts, which a prop firm can flag as a coordinated copy group. realbacktesting is engineered against that \u2014 every account runs an independent variant of the same edge, so no two accounts place the same trade at the same instant, size or price. The edge itself never changes.","layers":[{"n":"01","name":"Independent entry timing","who":"on by default","body":"Each account derives its own deterministic timing offset, so the same signal fills at a slightly different moment \u2014 and therefore a different price \u2014 on every account. Two buyers of the same product are never in the same trade at the same instant, so there is no identical, simultaneous order for a prop firm to pair."},{"n":"02","name":"Balance-based sizing","who":"always on","body":"Position size is a percentage of your own balance, so different balances produce different lot sizes on every single trade \u2014 one more way each account's trade stream is its own."}],"immutable":"What never moves is the edge: the entry and exit logic, the stop, the target, the risk per trade. Only WHEN an entry fires (a few seconds of offset) and HOW MUCH it sizes (your balance) differ between accounts. Both are expectancy-neutral by construction \u2014 they change your fingerprint, not your expected return.","stance":"Honest stance: no anti-copy measure is a guarantee, and we don't claim one. Independent timing and sizing stop two accounts from placing identical, simultaneous trades; they don't pretend two accounts running the same product share no statistical resemblance under deep analysis. FTMO permits commercial Store EAs \u2014 this is best-effort engineering so your account trades as its own, not a marketing promise."},"results_note":{"kicker":"Expectation setting","title":"Your results vs the published backtest.","body":"Your live results will land a few points around the headline numbers \u2014 and that's by design, not degradation. Two things move them, both small and expectancy-neutral:","points":["The uniqueness layer \u2014 a short, automatic entry-timing offset and a lot sized to your balance.","Real costs \u2014 your broker's spread, swap, commission and slippage."],"close":"The edge itself \u2014 R:R, stop, target, indicators \u2014 is identical; only when and how much you enter changes. The headline numbers are the design target; in live you land around them. We don't promise the exact backtest \u2014 that honesty is the whole point."},"strategies":{"kicker":"Strategy explanation","title":"How the systems actually trade.","intro":"Each product is a portfolio of independent, decorrelated strategies \u2014 not one indicator and not one market. The behaviour is open; the exact recipe is the part you're paying for.","blocks":[{"h":"The concept","b":"A basket of independent strategies, not one indicator \u2014 nested cleanly: Guardian's 8 sit inside Balanced's 12, inside Edge's 13. Each was <b class=\"hl\">individually proven a winner</b> (deflated-Sharpe, PBO, out-of-sample) before it earned its place."},{"h":"How it works","b":"Each sleeve trades only inside the regime it was validated on \u2014 trend, breakout, mean-reversion or momentum \u2014 never forced, with a higher-timeframe filter keeping it on the right side. We publish the behaviour; the exact indicators stay proprietary."},{"h":"Money management","b":"Every trade has a hard stop and risks a small slice of your balance \u2014 <b class=\"hl\">no single trade can sink the account</b>. The drawdown band is enforced at the 95th percentile of 20,000 Monte-Carlo paths and confirmed out-of-sample."},{"h":"Decorrelation","b":"Six markets, different timeframes, average pairwise correlation near zero (|corr| \u2248 0.05). When one sleeve is down another is usually carrying \u2014 that's what keeps the combined curve smooth."},{"h":"What stays proprietary","b":"The exact indicators, thresholds and per-sleeve weights stay private \u2014 that's <b class=\"hl\">the research you're buying</b>. Everything you need to verify the result is public; everything you'd need to clone it is not."}],"families":[{"name":"Trend-following","detail":"ride sustained directional moves, behind a higher-timeframe filter"},{"name":"Breakouts","detail":"enter as price clears a volatility range"},{"name":"Momentum","detail":"confirm strength before committing"},{"name":"Mean-reversion","detail":"fade stretched moves \u2014 only inside the trend"},{"name":"Volatility","detail":"size and time around expansion / contraction"}],"gate":"Every sleeve only trades inside the regime it was proven on \u2014 never forced into conditions it wasn't validated for.","note":"No promises \u2014 each edge is specific and validated, not magic. We show you how to verify the result, not how to rebuild it."},"ftmo_faq":{"title":"FTMO & prop firms \u2014 straight answers.","items":[{"q":"Will I get banned for using this bot?","a":"FTMO permits commercial EAs from the cTrader Store. Every account runs an independent variant \u2014 its own entry-timing offset plus balance-based sizing \u2014 so two accounts never place the same trade at the same instant. It isn't a guarantee, and we don't claim one; it's the most that can be done without touching the edge. Always read your prop firm's own EA and trading-practices policy first.","link":"https://ftmo.com/en/forbidden-trading-practices/","link_text":"FTMO forbidden trading practices \u2192"},{"q":"Is FTMO a legitimate prop firm?","a":"FTMO is one of the largest and longest-running prop firms \u2014 operating since 2015, with hundreds of thousands of traders and a strong independent review record. We are not affiliated with FTMO; verify it yourself with third-party reviews.","link":"https://www.trustpilot.com/review/ftmo.com","link_text":"FTMO reviews on Trustpilot \u2192"},{"q":"Is this copy-trading?","a":"No. There is no master account, no shared signal feed and no copier. Each account independently computes the same edge and offsets its own entries, so there are no identical, simultaneous trades across accounts."},{"q":"What is the 400K rule?","a":"FTMO caps the total capital it will allocate to one trader across funded accounts (commonly cited around 400,000 USD). It's a funding-side limit on how much you can be allocated \u2014 it doesn't change how the bot trades. The exact figure and scaling rules are FTMO's; check their current FAQ.","link":"https://ftmo.com/en/faq/","link_text":"FTMO FAQ \u2192"},{"q":"Why do my results differ from the published backtest?","a":"The uniqueness layer (a short entry-timing offset + a lot sized to your balance) plus your broker's real costs. The differences are small and expectancy-neutral: the edge \u2014 entry/exit logic, stop, target \u2014 is identical; only when and how much you enter changes. Headline numbers are the design target; in live you land a few points around them."},{"q":"Swing or Standard account?","a":"An FTMO Swing account \u2014 NOT a Standard one. These systems hold positions over the weekend and trade through news; a Standard account force-closes before the weekend and restricts trading around high-impact news, which would cripple them. Swing leverage is up to 1:30 (vs 1:100 on Standard) and varies by market \u2014 lower for indices, metals, commodities and crypto than forex; the exact per-instrument figure is in your cTrader instrument specification.","link":"https://ftmo.com/en/faq/ftmo-swing-account-type/","link_text":"FTMO Swing account type \u2192"},{"q":"Can I run it in the cTrader cloud, 24/7?","a":"Yes. cTrader's free cloud runs a cBot 24/7 with no PC and no VPS \u2014 it keeps trading with your device switched off. Because the cloud can't verify a paid licence, your Store purchase runs locally by default, and we hand verified buyers a dedicated cloud-ready build on request (cloud builds sit outside the 14-day Store refund window). Prefer to keep it on your own machine? Just leave cTrader open, or use a small VPS.","link":"https://help.ctrader.com/ctrader-algo/documentation/cloud-features/","link_text":"cTrader cloud features \u2192"},{"q":"Does it hold positions over the weekend?","a":"Yes, it's Swing by design \u2014 it holds over the weekend and trades through news, with no news filter and no Friday force-close. Swing accounts use lower base leverage (up to 1:30) than a Standard account.","link":"https://ftmo.com/en/faq/ftmo-swing-account-type/","link_text":"FTMO Swing account type \u2192"}]},"setup_guide":{"kicker":"Run it right","title":"Six steps. One account. Don't touch the dials.","intro":"These systems are calibrated to a single, fixed configuration \u2014 the one every number on this page was measured at. Run it exactly as shipped and your account tracks the design; change it and you're off the map.","steps":[{"n":"1","t":"Buy it once on the cTrader Store","d":"Your purchased cBot appears inside cTrader under Automate \u2192 your cBots. No external downloads, no keys to paste."},{"n":"2","t":"Add it to a single chart","d":"Open any one chart (e.g. EUR/USD H1), click Add cBot and pick the product. It manages all of its own symbols internally \u2014 you never add it per market."},{"n":"3","t":"It ships ready \u2014 don't touch the dials","d":"The cBot loads with its calibrated settings already built in as the defaults \u2014 there is no preset file to import. Just don't change a value: the ROI, drawdown and parity on this page are tied to exactly these settings."},{"n":"4","t":"Use a Swing account \u2014 not Standard","d":"These need an FTMO Swing account: they hold over the weekend and trade through news, which a Standard account force-closes and restricts. Risk is sized off your balance automatically."},{"n":"5","t":"Start it \u2014 local or cloud","d":"Click Start. Run it locally with cTrader open (a small VPS for 24/7), or ask us for the cloud-ready build and run it in cTrader's free cloud 24/7 with nothing of yours left on. It only uses cTrader's own trading tools \u2014 no 'full access' warning to approve."},{"n":"6","t":"One product per account","d":"Run a single product on a given account. Never stack two of ours \u2014 or any other bot \u2014 on the same account; it breaks the per-account uniqueness and the published risk profile."}],"rules":["Use a Swing account \u2014 never a Standard one.","One product per account \u2014 only that one.","Don't change the parameters.","Let it hold over weekends and trade through news."],"disclaimer":"Change the calibrated parameters and you're on your own: we cannot promise behaviour anywhere near the published backtest once the settings are altered \u2014 that is your responsibility. Running more than one system on the same account, or sizing outside the built-in balance-based risk, equally voids any resemblance to these numbers. Trading involves a substantial risk of loss; past performance does not guarantee future results. realbacktesting is not affiliated with, or endorsed by, FTMO or any prop firm."},"transparency":{"kicker":"Before you buy","title":"What you get \u2014 and what you don't.","get":["A compiled cBot on the cTrader Store, with the exact parameter preset every number here was measured at.","A 5-year backtest on real per-symbol costs that you reproduce in your own cTrader before risking a cent.","The full metrics, the FTMO funding & payout model and the verification methodology \u2014 nothing hidden.","A dedicated cloud-ready build on request, so you can run it 24/7 in cTrader's free cloud."],"dont":["No live track record yet on these systems \u2014 what exists is a 5-year backtest, reproducible in cTrader.","No guaranteed returns \u2014 every figure is a backtest or Monte-Carlo model on 2021\u20132026 data.","No signal feed and no managed account \u2014 you run the cBot yourself, on your own account.","Not a performance warranty \u2014 the 14-day money-back is the cTrader Store's standard policy, nothing more."],"risk":"Trading involves a substantial risk of loss and you can lose money. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Verify the backtest in your own cTrader before you risk capital. Built for FTMO EUR Swing accounts (20k\u2013160k); minimum recommended balance 40,000 EUR (Edge 20,000) \u2014 below that the cBot skips Gold/BTC trades on minimum lot and the drawdown band no longer holds.","currency":"Two currencies, stated plainly: the backtest, the 80,000 EUR model base, the account sizes and the modelled payouts are all in EUR; only the cTrader Store charges the one-time price in USD, with any VAT or taxes handled at checkout."},"value_stack":{"kicker":"Zero risk to find out","title":"Reproduce it yourself \u2014 before you risk a cent.","lede":"Load any system into your own cTrader, re-run the full 5-year backtest on Tick data from Server, and confirm it lands exactly where this page says. The cTrader Store's 14-day money-back has you covered either way \u2014 so the only thing you're risking to check is a few minutes.","items":[{"h":"8\u201313 validated strategies","d":"each individually proven a winner \u2014 deflated-Sharpe, PBO and out-of-sample, not one lucky indicator."},{"h":"The FTMO funding & payout model","d":"Monte-Carlo over the real returns: time-to-funded, pass rate and modelled monthly income."},{"h":"Reproduce-it-yourself proof","d":"100% engine-to-engine signal parity, harness-verified \u2014 load it into your own cTrader and re-run the backtest to check it yourself."},{"h":"A cloud-ready build on request","d":"run it 24/7 in cTrader's free cloud \u2014 no PC, no VPS, nothing of yours left on."},{"h":"14-day money-back","d":"the cTrader Store's standard policy \u2014 verify first, decide after."}]},"products":[{"slug":"producto_1_ftmo_conservative","name":"Guardian","family":"realbacktesting","tier":"Conservative","tagline":"The narrowest drawdown band \u2014 built to verify, not to brag.","best_for":"First prop account or risk-averse traders \u2014 the calmest curve, the narrowest band.","prop_ready":true,"price":{"orig":699,"promo":699},"ceiling_pct":4.0,"n_strategies":8,"n_assets":5,"full_name":"Guardian FTMO Swing","assets":["DAX 40","Ethereum","Nasdaq 100","USD/JPY","Gold"],"metrics":{"roi_5y_pct":104.8,"cagr_pct":15.4,"avg_annual_pnl_pct":21.0,"sharpe":3.22,"sortino":6.9,"profit_factor":1.82,"win_rate_pct":51.7,"profit_factor_trade":1.7,"win_rate_trade_pct":46.6,"max_dd_backtest_pct":-1.88,"max_dd_equity_pct":-2.28,"mc_p95_dd_pct":3.5,"oos_dd_pct":-2.98,"oos_sharpe":2.73,"oos_roi_pct":34.1,"worst_day_pct":-0.57,"pos_months":52,"neg_months":9,"pos_months_pct":85.2,"basis":"per-day","source":"research","per_day_metrics":["sharpe","sortino","profit_factor","win_rate_pct"]},"metrics_note":"Risk metrics are per trading day (Sharpe/Sortino \u00d7\u221a252; profit factor & win-rate on winning days). 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